Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Accelerando | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Harbour | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spikephil | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mac Gowan | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zip to Zap | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Angel (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Encore Mo | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prime Minus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hope She Fires | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Closing Appeal | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Misslucky | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | How Noon Is Now | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ya No | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Scarlet Tiara | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danish Cookie | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flightmare | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Serenading Amaya | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princessonamission | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aussie Hyper | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reload Eh | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powaqa | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ecliptical Ladybug | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pipinna | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keytothepark | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Soothsayer | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suvari (FR) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lotta Gems | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap My Desire | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Really Big Show | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refinement | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Klickitat Kat | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Minimum Forty | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mobula | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arianna’s Tour | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wozniacki | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. C | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reach for the Top | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Phillip My Wine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Snooze | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Label | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Savvy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thornbury | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mohaymen Diamond | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elissa’s Macho | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | North York | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Tap | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chocolatecroissant (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Reigns | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Guitar | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Go Souper | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bermuda Brew | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Gizmo’s B F F | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Destiny | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Moonshine | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sobiech | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Rose | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zipfire | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildfire | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saucy Name | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shamra | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Visor | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Valentine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gretna Green | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.