Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 2 |
2 |
Special Ops |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Caseofthemondays |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Felonious |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Life Is Gravy (IRE) |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Five Wishes |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Southeastern |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 4 |
4 |
Kiamba (IRE) |
0.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Agia Marina |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Soul Dance (GB) |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Can’t Fool Me |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Trail of Gold |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Swiss Moon (FR) |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Romantic Dancer |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 3 |
3 |
Opulent Restraint (IRE) |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Growth Trajectory (GB) |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Unreasonable (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Peak Hype |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Silvology |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Lady Firefoot |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 6 |
6 |
K Gun |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Princess Ny |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Big Air |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Hey Cookie |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Howling Wind |
3.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Cararra |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Circuit Court |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 4 |
4 |
Key Actress |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Sweet Mackenzie |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Dimensionality |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Beside You |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
No Difference |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Samartina (FR) |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Pay the Bills (FR) |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Pulling Threads |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 7 |
7 |
Sliceaway |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 6 |
6 |
Ghost Me |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Mary’s Gunna Run |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Cadillac Mary |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Last Soiree |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Boxajoe N Tootzrol |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 3 |
3 |
Just Peachy |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
| 5 |
5 |
Ms Liu |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 9 |
9 |
Nashoba |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 1 |
1 |
Honey Honey |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 6 |
6 |
Golden Symphony |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Dot’s Dollar |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Farm Team |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Screaming Uncle |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Go Irish |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Sanzio |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Clancy Fancy |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Smilensaycheese |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 1 |
1 |
Restless Renegade |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Mr R T |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Ghost Army |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Dare Defying |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Chess Match |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Bourbon Hangover |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Dixie Hex |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Ruby’s Trouble |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 1 |
1 |
Voodoo Doll |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Capital Partner (GB) |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Madagascar |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Print |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Woods |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Tartabull |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Chayton |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Tiz Trouble |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
| 9 |
9 |
Gulfy |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 1 |
1 |
He’s My Kind |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Jubilee Parade |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
No Compromise |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Implacable |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Big Destroyer |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Frenchquarter Note |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Gordy |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Bremen |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
