Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cozy Curlin Kitten | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Prayer | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Butterfly | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barbratina | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bow Draw | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Story Hour | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hoodlum | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | National Eclipse | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saltwater Cowboy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nip N Tuck | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Pounce | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creek | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bee Crazy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart of a Gunner | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Press Release | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gone and Plenty | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Fly | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Tight | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Setter | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just You and Me | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bit Tipsy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fuego Sunset | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crack On | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vanderbilt | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evan On Earth | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justifreak | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landing Craft | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nash Potatoes | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army Wildcatter | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Sapphire | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spurgeon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trim Castle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crossfire | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | See You Soon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Town | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karajan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Kiss | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Theo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Crusher | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ditlihi | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bomani | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Avenue | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | West Hollywood | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Aces | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeth | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funtastic Again | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Herchee | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Idratherbeblessed | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Aaron | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Theismann | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higgins Boat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guardian | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mitty’s Griddy | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coastal Breeze | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Love | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Mania | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | League of Legends | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy At Midnight | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mamoot | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Livehappy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cash Call | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anakarina | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roswell | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Law | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Quick | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Scene | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Market | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amberglen (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Pharaoh | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Cantera (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pookie | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Daydream | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ensorcell | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerseys Parade | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.