Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Double Miles | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tug | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It a Lee | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Wonder | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guard of Honour | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knockout Guy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zaino | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mo Town | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Engagement | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Panchita | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racquel Blue | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rio Oso | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Izzy’s Rock Star | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Alice Go | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cloud Music | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Falfurrias | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Last Scip | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J D Factor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Me To Church (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sam Stormy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chance | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rigel | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mongolian Apple | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Sunday Spirit | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Smuggler’s Gold | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 17 | 17 | Best Bet | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Chuck Adams | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Painter | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Rockin | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tallahatchiebridge | 30.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Dover S.) – Dover S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seven’s Nitro | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tatters | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snowhomish | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Siete | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Devil | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Corazoncito | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Wife | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hola Gata | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Violet’s Charm | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Moon Cache | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Racey Ruby | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cozy Rosie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Ronda | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sylfrena | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ariana Valentina | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keepthedreamalive | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zippy Do Da Day | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caprichosainfront | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Blue Hen S.) – Blue Hen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whitten Way | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Witchy Vibes | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Martiniwithatwist | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Tapping | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Where Are You | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Almas Gone Gamblin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Destiny | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olivia’s Legacy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Down the Farm | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Jeff | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take a Hint | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Normandy Hero | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yahoo Omar | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Seine (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elon | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Radical Right | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kohoutek | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Congrats On Fifty | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Devil | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just for the Money | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Run’s for You | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Float On | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prom Knight | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Old Town Road | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven’s Eleven | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ducale | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mogalu | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dither | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
