Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frolicking | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glow of a Rose | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poise | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chestnut | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Episodic | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Commitment Fund | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Pick | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pay the Piper | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veblen | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Housing Market (FR) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Democracy Defender | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feline Curious | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sidearm | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Okefenokee | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Bobbie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Belle Cherie | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby Jean | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cararra | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Karey | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oscar Bound | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calling an Audible | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That’sthefactjack | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hauntress | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Scootaloo | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caradise | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just Classic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Main Thing | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capt Fluff N Stuff | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bakuto | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nordic Fyre | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Mashigina | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Rock | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Dancer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | All Star Leigh | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deuce Dancer | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Beach Life | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Dymphna | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Cloud | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carpet City | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leyton Orient | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Angel | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Grace | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Night Sky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinboshi | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Paper Lady | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buccherita | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nater Tot | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Champagne in Paris | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Comets Choice | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Paul’s Recovery | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capricious Outcome | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Printer’s Alley | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vintage Vino | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Browne | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Can See That | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lawyer Mason | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exhibition Only | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeter | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take a Stance | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funky See Funky Do | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kings Dancer | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Immaculate Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Tipsy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose to Riches | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cara Fiore | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chart the Course | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pulling Threads | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | M Bs Melanie Cares | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Beach | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Troy S.) – Troy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twenty Six Black | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doncho | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | John the Beer Man | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waralo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Works for Me | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rezasrolex | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Buck | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Determined Kingdom | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coppola | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo for the King | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onebigbeautfulbill | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Money | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Business | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Roof Beau | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empire Sky | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sorority Prank | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caddiemaster | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sebastianthe First | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sequential | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ciao Chuck | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Circle | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fever Night | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Barrel City | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blast Furnace | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pineland | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Paddock Pastor | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | English Castle | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outsource | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Maximum Promise | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chips and Fish | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Front | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Back in the Saddle | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bosun | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shirl’s Soul Town | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grunge | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Improbable | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ortley Avenue (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bostontonian | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | After Taxes (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brightline Bullet | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Into Diamonds | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pair of Socks | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.