Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Katz On Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Bourbon Tea | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Capo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paris by Night | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Dancer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon N Music | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misseleanor | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bangkok Blaze | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokie Mist | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flee | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Essential Girl | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet and Feisty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Radio Goo Goo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Marjorie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eimear | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Voluntary | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firestreak | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reppazz | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burnsbrighter | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pasoria | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stephanie’s Rose | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catch Me a Catch | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncommon | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ivey My Love | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blushing Princess | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sister T | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paraiba Blue | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Impressiveness | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Federal Exchange | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fayes Heart | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Warrior | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharon’s Prince | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twelve Nelson | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ellinger | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A G Diamond | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Set the Stage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poulin | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m With Her | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Sara Yougotit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Rose | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Hay Renee | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vino Baby | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shorebound | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Need to Ask | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Lady | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tailored for Joy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saucy Six | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aibell | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cocoa Mills | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roberta | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sterling Cat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shipman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson Road | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ikigai | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I See You Lookin | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Megan’s Honor | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guaio | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capt. Candy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Panda | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | God With Us | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tifosi | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rigel | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Consolidated | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Win Street | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Straight Arrow | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Noble One | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Front | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hold the Salsa | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carentan | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ennis Town | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Mags | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Orator | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Falcon Cove | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Leo’s Foo | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chuck Adams | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Intrepid Mo | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dyna Soar | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doc’s Miracle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Old Bay | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Rules | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Anna Bella | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Canny Lass | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Rules | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let ‘er Sizzle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Key Witness | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cashpoint | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lorelai | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | False Witness | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cloud Kisses | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code Name Maisie | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mom Esterina | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Chachy Run | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.