Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Save Us Melania | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Class | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snide | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street View | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malu | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirteen Red Flags | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pronghorn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concurrently | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballerina d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Low Country Magic | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Authority | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purloin | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midtown Lights | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | L’Eclair | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huck’s Agenda | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Gossip | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cravings | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baseball Lady | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pinky Brier | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Celestial Body | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkling Mama | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gardiner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treaty Obligation | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous M | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runaway Joke | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Protected | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disarmed | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hat Willie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trust Issues | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conniving | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sweetnessthrtyfour | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sultan Hassan | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Legend | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Off the Beach | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Act | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Story of Rory | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Engraved | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Busted | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strobe Light | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thespian | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Gain | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Vista | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discotheque | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Bend Tom | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moment’s Notice | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solo Jim | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Jim | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sergeant Capps | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (New York Stallion Statue Of Liberty S.) – New York Stallion Statue Of Liberty S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s Country | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Dawn | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Prayer | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greyjoy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Combat Move | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shake Em Off | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hanna’s Hideaway | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lifeisbutadream | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Into the Unknown | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Suited Connectors | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paula’s Choice | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Clicks | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roasted Reds | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bounding Along | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raynham Hall | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not Tapping | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stella Fortuna | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Addagirl Addie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Gael | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iwokeuplikethis | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Signal Chat | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.