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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 28, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rockabye 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Pay Monthly 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bolt Island 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Breaker 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Classy Runner 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hormesis 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Quartz Mountain 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jackie the Joker 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Short Shift 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Curlin’s Magic 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Miss Lao 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Open Soul Autism 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bellacose 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ah Ca Ira 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shipsational 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Expensive Cut 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Amedeus Music 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Spoiler 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Interlock Empire 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Polar Bear Plunge 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fever Night 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Graywing 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Princip 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kunshan Bridge 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Timaeus 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Norwich 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tizmarkus 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Normandy Coast 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Shoot the Nickel 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bittersweet Memory 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Harpoon 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Celebrate 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Funny Words 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bluegrass Princess 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Amelia in Air 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Harmony Mill 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hunter Creek 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal County Down 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Revenge of the Sis 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mandy Steph 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sellonthenews (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ed Charles 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Comical Mischief 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Just You Baby 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Hammerin Henry 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Maximilian 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Themistocles 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dominicgofriskem 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Freedom Charge 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 McMoon 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mr Rigatoni 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Five Grand 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (West Point S. Presented By Rood & Riddle Equine Hospital) – West Point S. Presented By Rood & Riddle Equine Hospital

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tonka Warrior 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Spirit of St Louis 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bank Frenzy 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Dr. Kraft 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Itsallcomintogetha 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Russian Realm 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Wynstock 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Two’s a Crowd 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Doc Sullivan 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Leon Blue 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mi Bago 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sounds Like a Plan 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 George Briggs 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waya S.) – Waya S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silvology 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Unmerited Favor 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Whitethorn 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Awesomesauce 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Massarat 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Snipsnippitysnip 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Venencia (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Evershed (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Storm Miami (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Proud Foot 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Majestic Return 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Confirmed Star 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sassy Princess 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 City Blocks 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sweet Note 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fugitive Star 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Heavenly Light 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 East Coast Girl 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 King Puck 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Van Vollenhoven 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rhyton 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Stormy Birthday 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fireballin 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Vekinda 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Joker On Fire 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Three Thirteen 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Illmatic 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 B Provocateur 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Music in Motion 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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