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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 29, 2026

Brian VanArsdale

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roll Wave 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Roughkin 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Beau Valor 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Subjugation 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Exhibit 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mission Integrity 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Club Reign 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Up to the Task 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Caldo Candy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Oil Capital 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Unbroken Chain 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Emphasis 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sculcos Folly 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gun Range 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dr. Kapur 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Anyway 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cloudy Chance 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lightning Strike 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fedupwiththefed 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Central to Success 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 K Gun 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Daniella Marie 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Liberty’s Secret 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Fabian’s Princess 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grazie 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Feline Curious 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Noble Dynasty 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Gulfy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Print 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Iron Palace 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 King’s Remark (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Instability (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sound Bite (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Alto Blues (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zapruder 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Charles J 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sammy C Note 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Calling Card 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sir Oscar 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Oat Coutour 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Caroline St. Beat 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Honoree 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Newlyn 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dreams of Rome 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Twirling Lad 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Love Coin 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Coach Ryan 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Foxiest 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Saytara 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Letter of Credit 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Psalm Beauty 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Cruising Again 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Call Me 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Badittude 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Wharfie 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Quella 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Virabhadrasana 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Paige Turner 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cosmic Candy Girl 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Tahlequah 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 All of It 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Code 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 River Ride 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Counterintuitive 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bella Knows 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Samartina (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shelzawa (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.) – H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Solitude Dude 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Englishman 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Stickupwithoutagun 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Local Knowledge 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Amberjack 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Deep Flame 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Personal Ensign S.) – Personal Ensign S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Speed Shopper 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Scottish Lassie 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Margie’s Intention 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fully Subscribed 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Snowyte 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nerazurri 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Lake Placid S.) – Lake Placid S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nonconsecutivetrms 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ultimate Love 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kokomotion 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Deep Learning 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Oscar Bound 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 East Jabip (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Queen of Hawaii (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flowerhead (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Naomis (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Forego S.) – Forego S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Banishing 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Senior Officer 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Book’em Danno 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Crazy Mason 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 T Kraft 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bring the Smoke 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hymn 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tip Top Thomas 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Resorts World Casino Ballerina S.) – Resorts World Casino Ballerina S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 R Disaster 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ways and Means 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grammy Girl 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Beauty Reigns 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Maida 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Eclatant 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Munnings Express 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Usha 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kappa Kappa 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Paradise City 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Echo Sound 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kilwin 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Draftkings Travers S.) – Draftkings Travers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Golden Tempo 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Renegade 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Sea Strike 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Napoleon Solo 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 The Puma 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Silent Tactic 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Baby Vino 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Leading Change 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Emerging Market 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Ocelli 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Jadorlinija 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Three to G 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Alibi 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 People Watching 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Killa Sally 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 That’s How We Love 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mermaid 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 New Rose 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sparkling Mama 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Alone Time 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tax Holiday (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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