April 2, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frostie Anne | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morethanjusthello | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phocea | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rahy’s Bandit | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pari Nath | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Megan’s Muse | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Non Stop | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hunt’s Road | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wizardly | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Chat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Patton Proud | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fullfaithandcredit | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beach Hut | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Felini | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Fair Lily | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Picco Uno | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princessofthieves | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Riot Worthy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Go | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adirondack Dream | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Light the Vow | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cournoyer | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heldatgunpoint | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Algorix | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | We Were Kings | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time Squared | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Hayne No Gayne | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Day Lawn | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Archumybaby | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Eighty Eight | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | His Girl Friday | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Dynamax Prime | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mollica | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Mr. Buff | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ethan Hunt | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toga Challenger | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Degrom | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Terry O Geri | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indian Soldier | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Timber | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kohlhase | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Shane | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nobody Move | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Bourbon | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Manipulated | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Chaparral | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Top Flight Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Verve’s Tale | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Isabelle | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Rose | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Mo’ Green | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Winter | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oasis At Midnight | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Pearl | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Thirtydaysinjune | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ouro Verde | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Citizen by Day | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Really | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Axe Capital | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Sariah | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rising Polka Dot | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Christmas Sky | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.