April 14, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Antietam Creek | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer’s Here | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ermine and Purrs | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Da’blues Dancer | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lockupthebourbon | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bust | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keys Garboy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Lupe | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | One Proud Gal | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Bling Shines | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Charm City | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | I Just Wanna Win | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lemon Lover | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Macroeconomics | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heaven’s Creation | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Paint | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grace Isabella | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midday Prayer | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rill in the Hills | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Springtime Wind | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Light | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Mr. Stream | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What the Chub | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Progress | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Flyingtobechilders | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Billy the Bull | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Against the Win | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Nice Try | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hadeea | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Francesco Punch | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | No Delay | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zipping By | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hopehard | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Worth His Salt | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Braid | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honor the Fleet | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midway Gold | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Pat | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No More Talk | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robey’s Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Freudie Anne | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speak Up Sailor | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Janine Melnitz | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Road | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truth in the Lies | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sycee | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Littlemissperfect | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Little Cat | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Roll | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Grecian Prince | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing With Maude | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | It’s the Journey | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | In Arrears | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parade of Nations | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Be Wild | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Minor Legend | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supervisor | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Legal Precedent | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Willie B Mine | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Sugimoto | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kabang | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zinger | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bay Bridge | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Romeo | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Highly Prized (GB) | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free Union | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Fly E Dubai | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giles Fair | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Markakis | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brother Slick Nick | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Bull Addiction | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Fergie’s Lady | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Love’s Legend | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Takeashot | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Rosie Ridge | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Sofatude | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mesmerize | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | So Refreshing | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Petticoatsnpistols | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Brown | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hydro | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Enchanted Evening | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Chick | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Letmeslidebyyou | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | A Simple Challenge | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Averils Dream | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Southsidestrut | 20.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.