Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 16, 2017

April 16, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Royal Katy 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dyna’s Mischief 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Itsinthestars 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fresh Princess 2.00 4 8-1
6 6 Beau’s Beauty 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Aciano 4.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Dan’s Revenge 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bold Summit 12.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
4 3 Executive Five 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Bring On the Bull 12.00 4 8-1
2 1 Bet On Jack 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Few White Hairs 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Dr. Harkness 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Our Gabrielle 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Alilaction 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Saveaplaceforme 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Extremist 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Two Brews to Go 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Modus Operandi 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Woven Lady 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Bel Ayr Bay 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Viva Forever 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Holy Plan 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Haveawonderfulday 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Citrus Storm 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Why Wait for Later 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Sweet Rhapsody 2.50 7 13-1
3 3 Glory of Estevan 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 D’s Benefaction 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Misty Spirit 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 Teiaiagon 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Bakersfield 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 8 Silver Salsa 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ezee Biang 20.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
5 4 Never Worn 10.00 6 11-1
6 5 One Way to Fame 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Ave Caesar 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Best Boy 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Ratface Macdougall 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Who’s Got It 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Waubaushene 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Awesome Five 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Into the Mystic 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Budding 8.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
5 5 Front Nine 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 War Factory 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Jennifer Lynnette 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sweet Rose 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Real Coal 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Deep Blue Sea 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Luckbealady Now 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sweet Crimson 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Miss Forester 3.50 6.8 13-1
6 6 Sassy Ombre 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Star Shoot S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 R Naja 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Red Lodge 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Will She 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Gilded Lily 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sister Nation 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Crumlin Queen 15.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
1 1 Goldrush Glory 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Ediberto 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Gordie Mac 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Jovial Jess 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 The Doctor 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 For U Ruth 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Victory L. 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ben Lomond 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Lowi Vene 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Weepnwidow 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ariel’s Vision 3.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Big Time Nanny 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Thirteen Diamonds 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Dance With Me Baby 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Spanish Trick 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Hazel Meadow 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 My Cantata 3.00 7 13-1
8 8 Beezie 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Early Ringaling 20.00 9.8 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.