April 21, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiburon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hesagoutitwoshoes | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Stoleigh | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aggie Mania | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tw Jess | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Merci Bugs | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty N Natural | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jumpn for Pop | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Toast to Rosie | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ccslinkyswarrior | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Jjj Fast | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shez Fast N Easy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Fame | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eyepad | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pf Agouti Girl | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Riskitonacosino | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jumpn Bye | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Toast to Ce Ce | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Bigtime Flirt | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Bonnies Own Fortune | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sizzlin Stewart | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Di Southeen James | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jess Dashn N Streakn | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | First Impulse | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tres Seis Sign | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tough too Catch | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magics Neon Leon | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Valiant New Moon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mps Zoomin Bye Bye | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mega Hero | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jodys Little Alibi | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jmf Western Cartel | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Td Famous Jes | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apollitical Girl | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swingin Beduino | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cant Go Wrong | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dashing Miss Jess | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jls Tohottotouch | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chase the Rainstorm | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valid Expectations | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gabbanelli | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dashin Swinger | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashcoronatothetop | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ac Comandito | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Teardrops At the Bar | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Ponyupmr | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Frate Train | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oak Tree Rose | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ardor | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jess a Fighter | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Game Dude | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Okie Sweet Corona | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Jmf Dashing | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Dasher | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | West Texas Dash | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Td Magic Dash | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rf Sheza Fast Duck | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mibyebyebaby | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | See Me Streakin Bye | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raineys Game | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbonstreethotty | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gottalottalove | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iknowwhattodo | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shez Fast N Furious | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jls Rebs Be Gone | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Stunning Stella | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jls Shes Sassy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatafastdashinggirl | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eysa Jumpn Fast | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Robrogas | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shiney Cartel | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mariannas Comet | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eye Opening Bux | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Streakin Class | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jillian R | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That Girlsa Sizzlin | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Delta Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Scoopies Leaving You | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Fancy Prize | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dash Dont Cheat | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rbd Jessaswingin | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Dimple | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Aztec | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voncitas Game | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mariachy King | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gt Divalicious | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mps Shake Em N Style | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Nilo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jess Ah Brother | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rcv Leaving Streakin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Geaux Dashin Bye | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Non Stop Patriot | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arose | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kool Rockin Ali | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ojos de Angel | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Patrick | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Mel | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.