Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 22, 2017

April 22, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Elevated 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Bennie Y Benny 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tucked in Front 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 The Morning Guys 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Finding Candy 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ease On Bai 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Willow Bob 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Rest Assured 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 8 Watch the Tie 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 5 Couzins Gone Wild 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 7 Harlan’s Bear 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Lon’s True Passion 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Ponti Premonition 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Margarita Sunrise 2.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Speed Running Wild 6.00 6 11-1
1A 6 Shipthegrip 5.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 We Can Dance 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Duel At Dusk 1.60 2.3 4-1
6 6 Race to the Moon 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Primary Target 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Burnupthemoonlight 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Red Reddington 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Case the Place 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 4 Yougotthatgoinforu 4.50 2.3 4-1 Scr
7 4 Little Jimmy 3.00 3.1 6-1
1A 5 Johannesburg Smile 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 6 Andrew L 4.00 5 9-1
8 9 Model Citizen 5.00 5 9-1 Scr
5 3 Economic Data 8.00 6.1 12-1 Scr
6 3 Zipped Code 10.00 6.3 12-1
2X 7 Gadget Man 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 1 Purim’s Gold 6.00 8.1 15-1
2 8 Kodiak Syd 12.00 8.7 16-1 Scr
4 2 Chasing Twilight 12.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Fly Bye Pomeroy 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 World Record 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 More Hundred Acre 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Fair and Balanced 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Avalanche Rock 3.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Midnight Tryst 2.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Big Thief 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Chilham Court 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Youaretrue 12.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Katy Drama 4.00 1.6 3-1 Scr
7 6 Yes Mz Adah 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Kiss Me Kenzie 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bellamy Cat 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Shoppingforsilver 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Foxysflyinby 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Chessen 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Dragon Tattoo 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Ilgethepartystartd 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 5 Rodeo Drive Diva 10.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Nicaradalic Rocks 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Purcell 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Irish Colonel 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 We Did 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 King of Anything 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Giant Trick 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Thomas Knight 6.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
2 2 Printer 15.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 Extrasexyexotkminx 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 Ranger Lady 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 5 Shaunna Alexandra 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Acapella 6.00 4.6 9-1 Scr
3 2 Summer House 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Distinctive Lady 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Pinkout 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Prestons Princess 20.00 5 9-1
8 7 Natural Warrior 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 2 Money Game 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 5 Natalie La Rose 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 3 House Wine 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Ghazi’s Stone 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 Backyard Boogie 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Kittery 3.50 5 9-1 Scr
1 1 L X Sunrise 10.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
8 6 Dangerous Maize 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 8 Nice n’ Sweet 12.00 8.3 16-1
6 4 Keep in Mind 15.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Knight Spring 20.00 10.6 20-1 Scr
12 9 She’s Overwelming 20.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.