April 30, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rally Cry | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diversify | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adulator | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Backsideofthemoon | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Moses | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Testosterstone | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Martino | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mission Trip | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Steady Heat | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pimm’s Cup | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Married to Anya | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Auk | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hob Nob | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coral Ridge | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Beneficial Risk | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Unnamedinfluence | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Delphinia | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undulated | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Handsome | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ardmore Bay | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Have Another | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongo Nation | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morethanjusthello | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer House | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Magsamelia | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Quick | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mastic | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Amber Morning | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Humor | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trish’s Wish | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Luciano | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peace Speaker | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wage Acceleration | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Polar City | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Deep | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Army Mule | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zap Zap Zap | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Thaddeus | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New Moon | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Between the Lines | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Aragonite | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | West Hills Giant | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | True Bet | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Grand Sky | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Excluded | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Tiz a Chance | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dr. Shane | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curious Cal | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Irish Prayer | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chasintheblues | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Storm Petrel | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Arewehavingfunyet | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Littlemissbusiness | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Miss Julia | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flick of an Eye | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mama Joyce | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Optimistic Outcome | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Jcs American Dream | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Majesty | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Maria Got Even | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – License Fee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Reading | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Rocks | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fair Point | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ella | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hip Hop N Jazz | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Portmagee | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Princess | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homewood Field | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brianbakescookies | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Harlan’s Hunch | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Desperado | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Britain | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | White Flag | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cerise’s Prince | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pollock | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Focus Group | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Holland Road | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crime Lab | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Admirals Cove | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Papi | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.