Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, May 1, 2017

May 1, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Ribot Star 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Herecomeskat 1.60 1.8 3-1
2 2 Royal Del Mar 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Dusty Street 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 House Red 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Alexandra’s Mist 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Gray Cozzene 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Down With the King 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Forged Signature 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Thunder Duke 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Eastern Front 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Only the Truth 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Rocky the Kid 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Goodlookinwife 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Avalancha 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Princess Skylar 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Faithinvictoria 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Thump 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Dudes Rockin Lady 6.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
1 1 Yourcreditisgood 3.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Appealing Miss 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Alice’s Girls 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Whirlybird 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 L X Sunrise 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Just a Taste 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Black Queen 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Knight Spring 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 J R Jellybean 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Smartcool 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Blitzensmajikreign 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Royal Mile 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Big Man Rocket 2.00 4 8-1
6 6 Edger Jones 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Promise Illgetyou 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Jimmy the Explorer 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Ghostcatcher 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Complacent 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Country Money 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Wendy Wend 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Urban Burn 3.50 5 9-1
10 10 Only You 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Gotta Be Gold 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Renwick 4.50 6 11-1
2 2 Diamond Prince 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Longisland Express 8.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Uplifting 4.50 1.5 3-1
9 8 Tighten Up 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Not Beaucette 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Scherzo 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Buddy Anthony 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Unbridled Gift 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Valhalla 2.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 C B Bodemester 15.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
1 1 Gaetano 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Rose Tree 2.50 1 2-1
7 6 Bree’s Got Heart 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Elle Va 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Overhear 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Radiant Beam 15.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
9 8 Ingrid 4.00 6 11-1
3 2 Risque’s Diamond 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Joe’s Gift 3.50 6.5 12-1
4 3 Bertranda 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Holy Bullex 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 White Bluff 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Quiet Miracle 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Ecom 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Tot 5.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Malekith 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Purrin’ Proud 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Neilos 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Let’s Be Frank 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.