Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 4, 2017

May 4, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Bronx Sandman 4.00 2 4-1
8 7 Self Start 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Silectico 30.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
5 4 Top Hat City 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Chakotay 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Yay You 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Son of Mine 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 5 Smile for Eternity 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Leather Goods 10.00 8.5 16-1
4 3 Major Anthem 15.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Barcraft 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 A P Majetstic 10.00 2 4-1
4 3 Lead Us to the Bar 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 2 She Is Special 12.00 3 6-1
8 6 Everything Magic 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Candycoated Dame 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Crystal Pier 2.50 5.8 11-1 Scr
2 1 Jazzedjewel 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Heaven’s Door 15.00 7.8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Persnickity 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Wolfie 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Exchanging Secrets 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Doukas 3.50 5 9-1
8 8 Fly and Flutter 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Just too Much 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Little Stella 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Ultimate Avary 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Tranzip 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Never Stop Looking 3.50 1 2-1
3 2 I Stand Alone 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Dr. Toole 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Infinite Fiesta 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Start Jumping 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Mythos 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Mongolian King 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Galveston Harbor 10.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 9 Qualkris 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 War Baby 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Head for the Shore 6.00 4 8-1
14 11 Silver Slivers 10.00 4 8-1
10 7 Charged 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Full of Joy 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Point System 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 With Pleasure 10.00 8 15-1
11 8 Hope’s Blossom 12.00 9 17-1
7 7 She’slikethewind 4.50 10 19-1 Scr
2 2 Dixie Dancer 20.00 11 21-1 Scr
13 10 Zenbennie 15.00 11.3 21-1
5 4 Anissa 12.00 11.8 22-1
9 9 Holiday Prayer 20.00 13.8 26-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 All Blinged Out 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 Hibernia Fire 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Silver Starship 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 R Lucifer 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Asset Allocation 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Get Rid Of 8.00 5 9-1 Scr
5 5 Jet Home 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Absolute Pinnacle 4.50 6 11-1
1 1 Wisdom of Solomon 15.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Street Miz 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Miss Nosy 3.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
10 9 Summer’s Here 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Wildcat Cartridge 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Aphrodite’s Quest 3.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 My Lucky Star 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Follow the Petals 3.50 6.8 13-1
11 10 Cheering for Al 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Shifra Magician 6.00 8 15-1
3 3 Les Miards 12.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Eyerish Inspired 6.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Dancing With Maude 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Two Charley’s 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hyka 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bellows 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Maryland’s Best 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Parade of Nations 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Totaled the Benz 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 9 Marie From Parie 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Perfect Party Girl 3.50 2.5 5-1
15 15 Mysideofthestreet 8.00 3 6-1 Scr
9 7 Rescue Cat 4.00 4.3 8-1
12 10 Dominic’s Pride 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 My Sweet Autumn 12.00 7.5 14-1
16 16 La Murette 6.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
3 3 Five Smooth Stones 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Conjecture 12.00 8.8 17-1
8 6 Egber 15.00 9.8 18-1
13 11 Royal Brown 8.00 10 19-1
6 5 Faith ‘n Works 10.00 11 21-1
10 8 D. K.’s Valentine 12.00 12.3 23-1
5 5 Christmas Dinner 6.00 13.3 25-1 Scr
7 7 Quickasaflash 15.00 14 26-1 Scr
14 14 A Simple Challenge 20.00 15 28-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.