May 6, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Southside Warrior | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parting Gift | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Performance Bonus | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | War Bond | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Soluble (GER) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Crowd Funding | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Charming Indy | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Proud Zip | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Cheyenne Bull | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Nominal Dollars | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Build to Suit | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Musicality | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Summer Mischief | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Peak Performance | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sicilia Mike | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jewel Can Disco | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Money Laundering | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Carthon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Minsky Moment | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bartleby | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Follow the Signs | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Red Knight | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Samurai | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zonic | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hoboe | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Broken Engagement | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Scatoga | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Sheepshead Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sea Calisi (FR) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apple Betty (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zipessa | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Suffused (GB) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Achnaha (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guilty Twelve | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Voila La Victoire (IRE) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Frostie Anne | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Dean’s Ticket | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Spectacular Flash | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Making Havoc | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweetrayofsunshine | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Won Love | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Even Bette | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Pebble | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Luciano | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Nevisian Sky | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duquesne Whistle | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | H Man | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ransom Note | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Timber | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Benevolence | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gorelli | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secured Position | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Portfolio Manager | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Pete’s Play Call | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Air Vice Marshal | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rappel | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Commend | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Puissant (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | End Play | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 5 | Divine Interventio | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Jess I Am | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cloontia | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 6 | Jewel Heist | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Freud | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Slew’s Brew | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Motown Sound | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Branded Hand | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Try Flying | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Lotto | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Play | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Glass | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point Hope | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Groupthink | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Erik the Red | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Wine Not | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Core Portfolio | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | James Lane | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zabaione | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Papa Shot | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becker’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eden Ridge | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taoiseach | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Westchester S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mohaymen | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Connect | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Realm | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vorticity | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Virtual Machine | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greenpointcrusader | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frammento | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Fort Marcy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Time Test (GB) | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highland Sky | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Knight | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Doyouknowsomething | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Eirigh | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Farz | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Messi (GER) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jay Gatsby | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Go Around | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Daddy | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Piazza Del Campo | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Consumerconfidence | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 8 | Thornado (IRE) | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Astute Warrior | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Junction | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hello Holiday | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 6 | Baseline | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Luminary Flight | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Huracan | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Love and Care | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Til We Meet Again | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madeyourpoint | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 11 | Mystical Prince (BRZ) | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.