May 6, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leverkusen | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Page | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Czar | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Ciclon | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friendswith K Mill | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Patriot | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turkomani | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Road Warrior Max | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Chief Envoy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Li’l Meatball | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Dreaming of Joey | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mongolian Sunday | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sky Guy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Indiana Cowboy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magnanimous Mine | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khamsa Tfu | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getaway Car | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Enough | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Inka | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Affair | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erich’s Talisman | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mass Approval | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Son Wind | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway King | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barry Karafin Bets | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Your Drama | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mach My Day | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Me Grounded | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quinientos | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Honey Ryder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Hardcandy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Law | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adorable Miss | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Ready | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valedictorian | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sistersledge | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Mist | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gasprom | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Long Chuck | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sylvester Summitt | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judiths Nathan | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Padre | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Denial | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Popyhowuspelcupcak | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlet Wine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prominence | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | I’m Steppin’ It Up | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Telling Tony | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gracious Plenty | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gotsomemojo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dave Hoeght | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Saichi | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Jacks Wild | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lay It Down | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Kitten | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Par | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not Today | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Battle Ready | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Dopo Lavoro | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Run Time | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Midnightonbroadway | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Hy Brasil | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Slaimy | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cosmoescorpio | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danza Kuduro | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keepingitquiet | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Union | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shiny Copper Penny | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mears | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Square | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tsunami Girl | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Kitka | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Anothermouthtofeed | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | U S Diva | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Member | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Touch | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Mila | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sassy Sierra | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Faena | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Irish | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Roraima Dos | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anna Her Highness | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret War | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – English Channel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir Sebastian | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Squadron | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bronson | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Erasmo’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | General McGooby | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cruz Diez | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marco Mischief | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunaire | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Igotyoursix | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Switched | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Disco Man | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Tom Liz | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | New York Boy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Embers | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Family Crest | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Starship Danny | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not for Truth | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Wise Warrior | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Annie’s Big Boy | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Scout | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toikin | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J B’s Big Red | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.