May 6, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hydrostatic | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Praise | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bookies Luck | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cono | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Valentine | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Cioppino | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Tucker | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Charmalot | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tiz a Billy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roy H | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blackjackcat | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skelton Pass | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tribal Fighter | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aotearoa | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Eric the Trojan | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Carpet Cat | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L. A. Tower | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giro Candito | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | June Sixth | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Farmer | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Force | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raindance Rules | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Parched | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Beau | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | This’s How We Roll | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Game | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Besides the Point | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Stich | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who Said Lucky | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summertimemischief | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yavrig | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rally Back | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Senorita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sircat Sally | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spy Ring (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pacific Wind | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helen Hillary | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiburtina (IRE) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cammy’s Music | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Indy | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cornelius | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Supreme Giant | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buckner | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Summer Buddha | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trento’s Heart | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Last Shot | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolted Heart | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Hipper Hippie | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Like That | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hooriya | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Lyrics | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’sashocker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cho Has Zip | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Swirling | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Aussie Rock Star (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Livy (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Count Out | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Tink’s Twirl | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 9 | Time for Ebby | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merirosvo | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Go On Mary | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Revenue Virginius | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Avicii | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stealth Drone | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Jenna’s Faith | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Dis Smart Cat | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mischievous Champ | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Shy Carmelita | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shakti | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pica | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Party Factor | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gato Del Oro | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Placido | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E Bradley Cooper | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Borg | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Aim | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Potent | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Morty | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Critical Way | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invasion Looming | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Singletary S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Monster Man | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Samurai | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ventry Bay | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vending Machine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bird Is the Word | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Comma Sister | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bowies Hero | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Touch (GB) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Business (GB) | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | True Ranger | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Vodka Texted You | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dizzy Dancer | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Always Never | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Upper Mesa Falls | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Crabby | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Via Fermato | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Strong Values | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | This Time I Win | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s Bubba | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Sivali | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.