May 12, 2017 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quench | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Forever | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zarbanda | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Important | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All This Jazz | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coconut Pop | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Innessa’s Dream | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | My Charming Clyde | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ruby’s Love | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Commitment | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | It’s a Bang | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King of Versailles | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Antelope | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dustin E | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Titotime | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | Bourbon Commander | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Add Four | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Open Petition | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Lambourn | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Survoyant | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Supero | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Runaway Mike | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Schmiss | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Sr. Borincano | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atascaderan | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Photogenic | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greek God | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Two Punch Too | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Long Gone | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Barnards Galaxy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Zach | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dundalk | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Censure | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Speedy Slew | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kind Hearted | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hurricane Harold | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Captain | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Super Buddy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Itsnot Complicated | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Fear the Fire | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Party Regent | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Voo Dude | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Love Machine | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Good Save | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Bo Go | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Abercorn | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enduring Warrior | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hail the General | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fear Or Be Feared | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Iron Bank | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wolfie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Take It Inside | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Anna May Our Queen | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Money Game | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Frock | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Lulu Island | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Wildcat Gaze | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Pearl | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Charm City | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hug a Tree | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poco Loco | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wainscott | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Liberty Lane | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Champions Dinner | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Five Cotton | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Euro Exchange | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Legal Precedent | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Genes | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bluegrass Rye | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Expectations | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O Say Eye | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Angel Gio | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Red Clay Road | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Ralph | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderman | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curley Bleu | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Lad | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Len’s Magic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.