May 12, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Basie Boots | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Watch Me Now | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warren’s Super Cat | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Where’s the D | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockantharos | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summer’s Burst | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hydrostatic | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Swallows Inn Gal | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Quad | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Send a Buck | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Medaglia Gold | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Argosy Fleet | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stop the Violence | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Ghost | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Boy Candy | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American League | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | David’s Memory | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Samson | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indavidualist | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bombard | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taima the Hawk | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Music | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sly Humor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Orchid | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Lucy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jill Madden | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Bortolazzo | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rizzi’s Honors | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Charm | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Herunbridledpower | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Algorhythmic | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lady Espionage | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Winemenow | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yodelsong | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | So Heres the Thing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Lexington | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | To B. Ava | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mizzen Glory | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caray | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waldorf | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tally Mo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu d’Oro | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Echelon | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vow’s Son | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rings of Jupiter | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky J Lane | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Terzetto (BRZ) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | African Fighter | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sense of Glory | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tough It Out | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muchos Besos | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ninja | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amore Gattina | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Te Amo Mamo | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galango | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Set You Free | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Charm | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Righteous Dixie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s to Blame | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Storm | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Cant Catch Camille | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Movie | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.