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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 12, 2017

May 12, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Basie Boots 1.80 1.3 2-1 Scr
5 2 Watch Me Now 1.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 Warren’s Super Cat 15.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
2 1 Where’s the D 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Rockantharos 6.00 4.8 9-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Summer’s Burst 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Hydrostatic 8.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
9 9 Swallows Inn Gal 20.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 2 Quad 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Send a Buck 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Medaglia Gold 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Argosy Fleet 4.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Stop the Violence 3.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 Runaway Ghost 6.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Big Boy Candy 4.00 8.3 16-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 American League 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 David’s Memory 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sir Samson 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Alaskan Son (IRE) 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Indavidualist 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bombard 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Taima the Hawk 5.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Derby Music 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Sly Humor 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Lemon Orchid 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Magical Lucy 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Jill Madden 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Miss Bortolazzo 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Rizzi’s Honors 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Reckless Charm 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Herunbridledpower 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 2 Algorhythmic 1.80 2.5 5-1
7 4 Lady Espionage 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 3 Winemenow 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Yodelsong 8.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
1 1 So Heres the Thing 20.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
3 3 Lost in Lexington 5.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
8 5 To B. Ava 30.00 7.5 14-1
9 6 Mizzen Glory 10.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Caray 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Waldorf 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Tally Mo 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Malibu d’Oro 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Super Echelon 2.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Vow’s Son 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Rings of Jupiter 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Lucky J Lane 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Terzetto (BRZ) 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 African Fighter 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Sense of Glory 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tough It Out 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 I’ll Wrap It Up 3.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Muchos Besos 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Lady Ninja 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Amore Gattina 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Te Amo Mamo 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Galango 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Set You Free 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Street Charm 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Righteous Dixie 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 She’s to Blame 6.00 8 15-1
11 11 War Storm 5.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
6 6 Cant Catch Camille 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Holiday Movie 5.00 9.3 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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