May 28, 2017 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Okbyecya | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grantastica | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady America | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Strategy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | North of Eden | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Precisely Ponti | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sportscaster | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man of Stature | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Plug Catcher | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Consultation | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mambo At the Gym | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Philan | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Thought | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Rich Daddy | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Almost English | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Cream Truck | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Gold Digger | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curzon Street | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Hot Pairadice | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiree | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the River | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Partner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Angel | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Ballantine | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archival | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leading Cause | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daringly Bold | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fireball Shot | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Skedaddle | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cedarville | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Haynesome | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tides | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Lane | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea of Echoes | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Reydell | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Barry’s Swing | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Mil | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tanner’s Popsicle | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin for a Kiss | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Sunset | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goats Town | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Counterforce | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speightsong | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna de Loco | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Twister | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Art | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Fault | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harkness | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kupuri | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ettalusive | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dulua Kaiu | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Domonette | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dancing All Night | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Jaunt | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ice Ice Princess | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shoyoya | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeremiah Jewel | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crowned Princess | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anothertequilashot | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sardinia | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Put Da Blame On Me | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Loom | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Street Biz | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pageant Material | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Jersey Chaser | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Annathela | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blackberry Farm | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bootsy’s Girl | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Humor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Cite | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire for Effect | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Macho Bets | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red King | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nickle Plated | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Daddy | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlins Pride | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Honovi | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shystermeister | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saturday Fun | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spicoli | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Bourne | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Ride | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Leopard | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nseventeen | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guilty Streak | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Negu | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Cuppajoe | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Gordie | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.