July 4, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Del Mar Ann | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Algorhythmic | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ticaboo | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indriya | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Dragon Fly (GB) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cuyathy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Grader | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Qiaona | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Southern Mischief | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin for Tuition | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiki Bar Logic | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Remembering | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ninja | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Settle Down Eileen | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spinyatta | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arrowsphere | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lyrics | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | California Breeze | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Connie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Causeforcommotion | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Bid (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Luck | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trappiza | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Launch | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Well Maybe | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ryderroo | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Airfoil | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Dynasty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Percy’s Bluff | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Blue | 1.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | True Ranger | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Action | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bad Jon | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Atlantic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Getoffmyback | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curly Creek | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redneck Crazy | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – American S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 98 | Smokey Image | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Kenjisstorm | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pee Wee Reese | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alert Bay | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Om | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flamboyant (FR) | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Patentar (FR) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunt (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Si Sage (FR) | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Seven | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Jerry | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocky Rogue | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baron Charmant | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shackalov | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Time for Cioppino | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fake News | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mac McLovin | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Powerful Thirst | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Sun | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | American League | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | David’s Memory | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Man Chuckles | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buckys Pick | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tell Me a Story | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lord of Chaos | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Kona Dreams | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rare Candy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fritz Johansen | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bottle Rocket | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gutsy Ruler | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 98 | Chips All In | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Mischief Clem | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | G Q Covergirl | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Ebby | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amy Jean | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knk’s Dolce Vita | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obey | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discatsonthesquare | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mining Diamonds | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dis Smart Cat | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Time | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 98 | Waldorf | 0.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Union Rebel | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ral Rue | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Touch | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 98 | Taste’s Legend | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Prince | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Union Forever | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kinematico | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m Living Proof | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Traffic Thief | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charming Morty | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taki’s Choice | 4.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfection Tale | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Insubordination | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.