July 24, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nicholas and Me | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Terminal Speed | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perplexed | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thaddeus | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Your Secret’s Safe | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Britain | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Storm Scat | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One More Round | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Won’t Burn | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoot the Gap | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | British Bulldog | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizno | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Tiznoble | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Dagger | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Sportscaster | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Rapo | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Azar | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Purely Boy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Fancy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 7 | Morning Buzz | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Little Jerry | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Lewis Vale | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inventor’s Gate | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 6 | Taoiseach | 3.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Man | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 3 | Husband’s Folly | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Eloquent Riddle | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Laney | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dancing All Night | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dawn the Destroyer | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colorful Charades | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Libby’s Tail | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Yankee | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Bounty | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slam Chowder | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Renegade | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jemmabelle | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Ruby | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kate Is a Ten | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Dose | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetrayofsunshine | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brooklyn Gal | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gifted Lady | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz the Light | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Conspiring | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapella | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Change of Heart | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Covenant | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In It for the Gold | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Buy for Less | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sly Beauty | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Little Dipper | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Fairyland | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Princess Peggy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Schianti | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tudox Lifting Off | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky for Us | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | On the Hop | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbye Brockley | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Sugar Queen | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classy Dancer | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winner’s Dream | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josephine’s Moment | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Prize (ARG) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fuhriously Kissed | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Harlem | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jules N Rome | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Caress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pretty Perfection | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ruby Notion | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Everything Lovely | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mississippi Delta | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paquita Coqueta (CHI) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Reading | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eila | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Ella | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Appealing Maggie | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Carolina Shag | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Fair Point | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Animal Appeal | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Bahia | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Big Gemmy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Fox Strike | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Royal Power | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | My Mr. Wonderful | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Rockin Jo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alien Invasion | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Badaboom | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Fair Archer | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Command Code | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Multiply | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lover’s Leap | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | This Cat Can Fly | 6.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Channical | 10.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 9 | Bourbonfuhrme | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.