August 5, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Sassy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Anchor Baby | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Privy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Christy Jackson | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Soul Sound | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Council | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Chay Up and Away | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | C C Rocks | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | So Elite | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belisarius (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Prospect | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Above Board | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Tizzy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Nika | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zirondelle | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tisdale | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chris and Dave | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unusual Meeting | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wood Machine | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’malreadythere | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runasaurus Rex | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blanket of Ice | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | South Texas Lingo | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Pass | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | True Ranger | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Have Some Pride | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Getoffmyback | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Jon | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Red Carpet Cat | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Proudtobesicilian | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scatter the Moon | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Curly Creek | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Julia’s Summer | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Cordiality | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Jeremy’s Legacy (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mrs. Norris | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out Ofthe Ordinary | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G Q Covergirl | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Creme de La | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Mai Tai | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Lindeza | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Espresso (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nicarra (IRE) | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sorrento S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surrender Now | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spectator | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamondsandpearls | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit of Shanghai | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Terra’s Angel | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Belle | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Summer | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bolt d’Oro | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impeachableoffense | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xten | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Channel Crossing | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Long Sailor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flip the Coin Jan | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Saturday | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Cause | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bank Walker | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Yellow Ribbon H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Avenge | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hillhouse High | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cambodia | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Frenzified (GB) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Juno (BRZ) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amboseli | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pretty Girl (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Me Now (BRZ) | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lucky J Lane | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coastline | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avanti Bello | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Monarcho | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Echo (GB) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Steel | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin Rules | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madiba | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Californium | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ral Rue | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Ron | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tastemaker | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinematico | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Living Proof | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Light | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amazon Cry | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Waldorf | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Rules | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | House of Troy | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fregosi | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Perfection Tale | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Walker | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.