August 7, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hay Listen Up | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caniform | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Fort Liberty | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Open Bar | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Le Grand Warrior | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kerry Boy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rossie Val | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shine Bright | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Special Risk | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s World | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Emerald Quality | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quanique | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forever Rising | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daddyisdooley | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Lil | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Mist | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bitterroot | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Matinee Babe | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Communion Money | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shezastraybullet | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Achnaha (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Private Client | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Blossom (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grateful | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lilly’s Dream | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Borsa Vento | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Likeitlikethat | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One More Round | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Javelin | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Deep | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mohican | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid From New York | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Fastlanefrontman | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stan the Man | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Noble Doss | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4A | 4 | Castaway | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Match Up | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Swivel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Motown Sound | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleetway | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Branded Hand | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Street Heat | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Collective Effort | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Charge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimateenticement | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Fire | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor Up | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barely Impazible | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Huntsman | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Perfectexpectation | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lover’s Leap | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Scrutinize | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Stacy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Improv | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie Rocks | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tejana | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nonna Mela | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Grassarla | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pachamama | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shimmering Moon | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Never Hungover | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verdant Pastures | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Decorator Jenn | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Passporttovictory | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cats Halo | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Dream Passage | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Piquet | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Catch Your Dreams | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Redemption Queen | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Photographer | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | La Moneda | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Words of Love | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Danielle’s Pride | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Smart and Sassy | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Tiz R Bella | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Reconsider It | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Halcyon | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kat O Mine | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tulips Galore | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Here Comes Jody | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.