August 9, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
No Wunder (GB) |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Selection Sunday |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Hardrock Eleven |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Choral Society |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Fantastic Song |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Plated |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Orchestra Leader |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Giza |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Sunset Ridge |
0.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Silly Sister |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pretty Enuff |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tiznow’s Smile |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Moondance Joy |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Spectacular Me |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Lamontagne |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Wildcat Belle |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Roman Ceres |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Reckless Humor |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zeven |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Double Dose |
3.50 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Awesome Quick |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Can’tcatchtheraxx |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Megan’s Muse |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Hint of Mint |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Grand Tap |
15.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Everybody Loves Me |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Norma’s Charm |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Princess Char |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lady Ivanka |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Money Purse |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Singapore Trader |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Fox Strike |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Can’tweallgetalong |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Evaluator |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
9A |
9 |
Frozen Giant |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
No Worries Mate |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Sidd Finch |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
8A |
8 |
English Channical |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
8 |
Phone Funky Munky |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Flat Out Jayvien |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Crimson Frost |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Fields of Song (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fahan Mura |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tiz a Kitten |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Feed Me Carats |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Nisha |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Vasilika |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Culpa Mia |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Courtly Kitty |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Cha Cha Heels |
6.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Chorite |
8.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Valiant Spirit |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Cotton Candy Cutie |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
About That Base |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Verdant Pastures |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Three Eighty Eight |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cool as You Like |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Peaches and Spice |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
On My Toes |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Believe Indeed |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Desert Duchess |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Madame Uno |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Silver Magnolia |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Queenofthechannel |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
City Section |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miko |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Thrice |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Indygita |
6.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Joyful Joyful |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Quick Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Indy Hill |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Malraux |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
The Money Monster |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Expedited Vision |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Blind Ambition |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mongo Nation |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Fortunate Queen |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Fairybrook |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ouro Verde |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Miss Pearl |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Muselet |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Feistyloulabelle |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Verona Blue |
50.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Pinchpenny |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Loose |
4.50 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Claudia’s Vision |
50.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Divine Caroline |
0.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.