September 10, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Making Havoc | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frostie Anne | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Kentucky Dancer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Everything Magic | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Call Her Karma | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jemmabelle | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lil Renegade | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Get the Facts | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Sentry | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Boss | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Witch Doctor | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ambassador Jim | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Arch Value | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Voting Control | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Debating | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Blockade | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raise Em Up | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zonic | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Doc | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rumbles of Thunder | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dwizard | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Givetheman a Cigar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devilry | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lucullan | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Air Vice Marshal | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord of Love | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dogtown | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Distorted Admiral | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Homewood Field | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | New York Song | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Grand Banks | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Filly Madison | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wish Upon | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prima Attrice | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kat O Mine | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Grande Beso | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saturdaynightfling | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reconsider It | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Love | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frostyjchardonay | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Copper Town | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Alphabet | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stan the Man | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuel the Bern | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Curlin | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Backyard Heaven | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ride On Faith | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Abiding Star | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Padilla | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Scout’s Honor | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiznoble | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2A | 2 | Rapscallion | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Special Selection | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3B | 3 | McIlroy | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Tiz a Chance | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bow Tie Affair | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Shane | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Polar Axis | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 14B | 14 | Uno Emayo | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Natural Order | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Romans Paradise | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Allied Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Handsome | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | White Flag | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proforma | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toga Challenger | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Fact Finding | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Money Monster | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardened | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harlan’s Harmony | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jewel Heist | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jamyson ‘n Ginger | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corporate Queen | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Knarsdale | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parade | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson Frost | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legally Bay | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maddizaskar | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crazy About Jazz | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Dixie Twister | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sly Ranger | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lulu’s Blues | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Veil Dance | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ragazza Di Papa | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nile Princess | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strawberry Tequila | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passporttovictory | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Janneydancer | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Mo Promise | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.