September 15, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Collective Effort | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10A | 10 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Stoney Bennett | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dark Ops | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sea Foam | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Merger of Banks | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9B | 9 | Flat Out Jayvien | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shiny Medal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Powerstroke | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4B | 4 | Buss the Bell | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Enduring Erin | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Free N Clear | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Believe Indeed | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Madison Blues | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Julia | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Zeven | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Miss Aja Brown | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | My Good Venezuela | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Weather Girl | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perina’s Pride | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Indygita | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sugar Mags | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Makealittlelove | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Madam Aamoura | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hold On Momma | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Causeway Cutie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer of Joy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Over My Head | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bartleby | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Saratoga Colonel | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Set Me Up | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Massena | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Filius Scat | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fleet Admiral | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wondermeister | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Looking At U Kid | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heat Check | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Auk | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dublin Leprechaun | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circumnavigate | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Jaunt | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Abbreviate | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Avery | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Royal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Change of Heart | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aoife | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | China Rider | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Boom | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Electric | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ducru | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Palladian Bridge | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Enuff | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zippity Zoom | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Non Finisce Mai | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mara | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | E Warfare | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love You Dearly | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Gold | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Katie Mae (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 1 | Sunnysammi | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Eila | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Louisville First | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Appealing Maggie | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rumble Doll | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | More Royalty | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wild About Harry | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Charm | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sokie | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Fields of Song (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Lady Constance | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Novique | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Tapa Liath | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Island Reward | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tiz a Kitten | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Active Runner | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Asian’s Way | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Forever for Always | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Andesine | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Another Genius | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Majestic Bloom | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Decorator Jenn | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Splash of Sass | 20.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Preziosa | 30.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Realm | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Posse | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re to Blame | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doyouknowsomething | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Town | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vulcan’s Forge | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Charro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Risky Sour | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brooklyn Speights | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silky Way | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Z J Wins | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rule Number One | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Kitt | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kierland | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dooley | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Run for Boston | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory’s Cash | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clonedsimmard | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jumpinjack | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.