September 16, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Here and There | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar None | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helluva Choice | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Scholar | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casigordo | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Martino | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Surprise | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Brianbakescookies | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 15A | 15 | Electro | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nile Prince | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan’s Hunch | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Admirals Cove | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wingman | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Markitoff | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Private John | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Love Your Buttons | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Culture Carrier | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Author | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Krampus | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Budokan | 5.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Workingforaliving | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kinder | 8.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prolific | 2.50 | 0.7 | 1-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Lane | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gravitating | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St. Augustine | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spa Shackalacka | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debating | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chantry Flats | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Littlemissbusiness | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flick of an Eye | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Ritzy Lass | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hold Me Down | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josephine’s Moment | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Spring for More | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Doinwhatshelikes | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Navajo | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Wild and Funny | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | History Supreme | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pass It On | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | City Day | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rushing Fall | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Soldiers Pride | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Matty’s Magnum | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Delta House | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Daddy Is a Legend | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Filfila | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cyrielle | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Coffee Crush | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Salty Scatt | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Too Charming | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gold Lace | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fiscal Discipline | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Alexis (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Canoe | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weekend Hottie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nile Princess | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elostorm | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jennifer’s Legacy | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silly Numbers | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Three Eighty Eight | 1.60 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Joyful Joyful | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Annals of Time | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Minister | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Maybe | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gio’s Calling | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hockey School | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Theycallhimthekid | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Black Tide | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cerise’s Prince | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cloontia | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Total Tap | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harlan Punch | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meantime | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Midway | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kasseopia (GB) | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spieth | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vincento | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hammerin Aamer | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clubman | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Faja | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dogtown | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miles of Humor | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sands Point S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | La Coronel | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Uni (GB) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Defiant Honor | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fifty Five | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fault | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chastise | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Inflexibility | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonita Bianca | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Vue Fantastique (FR) | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Empressof the Nile | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Performance Bonus | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Blaze’n Prospector | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Combat Controller | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Enduring Honor | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cordero (IRE) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lone Trader | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cloud Control | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Spirit | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caribbean | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Arbitrator | 4.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Twenty Four Seven | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steamboat Bill | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Djulpan | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Empire (GB) | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Canarsie Kid | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Bushmill Giant | 30.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.