September 23, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He Started It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Subliminal | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Espirituganador | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timeforastar | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cats Cassinova | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fleet Gizmo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Grit | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wien | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Commander | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tesseron | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sine Metu | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liddyup | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swellelegent | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Society | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O Wanderlust | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gizmo’s Destiny | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swagitude | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss G Note | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Me Sweet | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Damsel | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance for Mama | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Show Me the Prize | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | San Nicola Storm | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Luckfromabove (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Real Coal | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madison Way | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Craic | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matching Vows | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor and Trust | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stormy Perfection | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Squeeze | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Generous Consort | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lyla Lorraine | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Flashy Cat | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Get’erdonebud | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be the Change | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Heist | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redeploy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lowi Vene | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Deliver | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Budding | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ethical Funds | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shakhimat | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hardest Core | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingsport | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Little Man | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maxsmiraclejourney | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tethra’s Magic | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forty’s Sweetheart | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Red Explosion | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bearsatlanticmist | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boathouse View | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Christy | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Gertie T | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Green Freedom | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fresh Princess | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vice Regent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Dragon’s Cry | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King and His Court | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Signature Data | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Empire | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Havercamp | 0.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Buttermilk Pike | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sterling Silence | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silent Jimmie | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katalox | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | This Is My Night | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ky Causeway | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awfully Sinful | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Timberline | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madame G | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teatoe | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Extremist | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peche Mobilee | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Purity | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Luna d’Avril | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buckden House | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Fabiana | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Rhapsody | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Spirit | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marilyns Last Love | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Ray of Sunshine | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Mist | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Houdini Affair | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vaughan | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fullthrottle Kid | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Another Big Thing | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hold’emforransom | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Letthebighossroll | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Macho Dancer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | English Classic | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mini Miles | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Athena’s Legacy | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Matthew’s Ridge | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brightstone Bay | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike Revenge | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Philngood | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Jareth | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Track D Gold | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.