October 1, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cody’s Notes | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heliodoro | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Equality | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotham News | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Grey (FR) | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Union | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sand Dancer | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Make It Work | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Action | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Lincoln | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Commissioner | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hoard | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Michael Wonderful | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brightest Star | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Cantakeitanymore | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Temperence Hill Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Madefromlucky | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scuba | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let Me Go First | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Archanova | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Testosterstone | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tasteful | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Boule | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Initiate | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kahrumana | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Frost | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Overnegotiate | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miko | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Majestic Bonnie | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Two Hot Betty | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bride Street | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Alaskan Prince | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dancetrack | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiznoble | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Rapscallion | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Captain Gaughen | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Story to Tell | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Ifyousnoozeyoulose | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Bow Tie Affair | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Street Shark | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bibbo | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monte Man | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Francis Freud | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Navajo | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mockery | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fortune Street | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pink Sands | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aerial Assets | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady by Choice | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mojgan | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Birthday | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fingerpaint | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Itsinthestars | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Munchkin Money | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alabama Bound | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Bloom | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock Ave. Road | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ragazza Di Papa | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tiffanys Freud | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | B Three | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Carry Your Heels | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet August Lady | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Treatherlikestar | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sandy Belle | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laura’s Patriot | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Gobi | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Frost Wise | 0.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Amber Dancer | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Miss Grillo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Best Performance | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life Time Citizen | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Africa (FR) | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southampton Way | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Significant Form | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Codrington | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orbolution | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Union | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bramble Queen | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impact Player | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pete Marwick | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Fly | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Devine Entry | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Factor This | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vital | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Showcase Mall | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Solid | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Indifference | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.