Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 5, 2017

October 5, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2A 2 Acorn Street 3.50 1.8 3-1
3A 3 Soldiers Pride 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Matty’s Magnum 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Latrevo 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Wealth Effect 1.40 4.8 9-1
5 5 Kickin Kimberly 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Danny’s Rush 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 6 Filius Scat 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hopper Dropper 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 O Captainmycaptain 4.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 2 Big Auk 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Dooley 8.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
6 5 Frost Proof 5.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Frozen Angel 2.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
11 7 Pence 1.60 8.5 16-1
5 4 Dublin Leprechaun 30.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Tiffany’s Vision 30.00 10 19-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Hold On Momma 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Madame Barbarian 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Summer of Joy 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Splash of Sass 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Milaya 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Over My Head 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Clairvoyant Lady 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sand Shark 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Kissin Cassie 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Shesmyheartandsoul 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Fair Regis 3.00 5 9-1
2 2 Courtmewithcarats 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Verdant Pastures 1.80 1.3 2-1 Scr
4 3 Style Drift 1.40 3.3 6-1
10 8 Kacy Lauren 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Amazing Anne 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Iron Mizz 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Jcs American Dream 2.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
9 7 Weather Girl 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Belle of the Spa 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Lady Joan 2.50 8.5 16-1
1 1 Mecke’s Madalyn 30.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Missimpazi 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Tayler’s the Boss 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Miss Hot Stones 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Adorable Song 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Finlee 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 She’s Delightful 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 The Giant’s Vow 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Turn and Bern 4.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 It’s My Catiecat 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Kristofferson 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Deep Sea 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Delta Outlaw 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Blaze’n Prospector 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Camp Courage 2.50 5 9-1 Scr
3 2 Toohottoevenspeak 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Take Cover 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 John Jones 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Undrafted 1.60 3.3 6-1
1 1 Angry Moon 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Blind Ambition 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Life in Shambles 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Eighty Three 3.50 6.8 13-1 Scr
2 2 Chief Lion 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Mr. Massena 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Set Me Up 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rule Number One 30.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Morning Daddy 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Run for Boston 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Kierland 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Heat Check 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Wondermeister 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Artic Storm Cat 4.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Victory’s Cash 30.00 9 17-1 Scr
8 8 Captain Kitt 12.00 9.8 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.