Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 7, 2017

October 7, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Champagne Tequila 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cherokee Jam 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Purring Valentine 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fair City Girl 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Delavie 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 There Goes My Girl 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Broadway Peggy 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Hope for the Dance 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 The Stranger 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 El Shaddai 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Flash Sica 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Cowtownblue 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Vineyard Bay 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Lets Sail Away 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Z J Wins 1.60 5.5 10-1
4 4 Brazen Dancer 10.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Cowboy Chrome 10.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Transparent 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 4 Seal Team Four 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 6 Racetrack Romance 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Jack O Liam 15.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 1 Try Flying 3.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Persie 8.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
7 5 Wanna Follow Me 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 3 Colony Strike 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Itsjustagame 15.00 4 8-1 Scr
13 12 Open the Bank 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Veya 12.00 4.3 8-1
15 15 No Knock Raid 8.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 2 Hiram 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Tazmanian Charlie 10.00 6 11-1
14 14 Birchwood Road 4.50 8 15-1 Scr
7 7 Allie’s Event 10.00 8 15-1
4 4 Thurgood 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Picadilly Pete 6.00 9 17-1
3 3 No Texting 3.50 9.3 17-1
9 9 Simply Classic 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Asset Allocation 12.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Diana’s Vendetta 15.00 12.8 24-1
10 10 Paparazzi 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Secret Escape 8.00 2 4-1
6 4 Make It Run 4.50 2 4-1
2 1 Stellar Moon 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Princess Char 2.50 4.4 8-1 Scr
4 4 Fighting Glory 8.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
8 8 Two Shy 10.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
3 2 Speeding Starlet 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Desert Isle 6.00 7 13-1 Scr
5 3 Trickizar 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Gala’s Bank 3.50 2.5 5-1
13 11 Ellie Girl 20.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
8 8 Itasca Falls 15.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
2 1 Scorpion Aly 12.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
3 1 Dixie Spirit 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 9 Miss Otis 4.50 5.8 11-1
10 8 Well Composed 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 3 Loya 8.00 8 15-1
12 10 Taller Sister 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 7 Moral High Ground 10.00 9 17-1
1A 14 I Dream of Lois 8.00 10 19-1 Scr
4 2 Promiscuous Force 20.00 11.8 22-1
6 5 Justgimmeakiss 20.00 13 25-1
7 6 Passing Pfast 15.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Ackeret 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Divine Desire 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Plenty Elusive 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dupree 2.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Mr. Brix 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Overcame 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Simmstown 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Likeitlikethat 12.00 2 4-1 Scr
2 2 Vocab 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Cailin Alainn 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 More Than Teddy 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Macue 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
4 3 Kitten’s Beauty 2.50 6.5 12-1
10 8 Lambano 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 7 Midnight With Luti 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 Muchacho Dude 1.80 7 13-1
1 1 Lunazul 15.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 JUNIA 8.00 2.5 5-1
1A 3 DARTYN KRISS SWA 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 RB WICKED RICH 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 OZARK KAOLENA SWA 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 MERLOT MHF 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 ROYALLY BRED 2.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
6 6 CV LILY DE CARDONNE 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 ZARIFA CS 8.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.