October 25, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Velleity | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Rail | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby’s to Blame | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Bridle | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dagal | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deep End | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One K Queen | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zarb’s Winnie | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | What a Shiner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santiva’s Ride | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | At Your Word | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spotsback | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Countach | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Help Is On the Way | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leger | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fireman Isaac Max | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Brother Who | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Im Tricky | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Val’s Star | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anita Bonita | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minion Money | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joji | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fine N On Time | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conspicuous Woman | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Song and a Saint | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uknowiaintlying | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Collin | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D’ Wildamber | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Devilish Sound | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | St Elfleda | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hula Pie | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yonadixie | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kiss Him Twice | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Cougar Bait | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 8 | Passing Simon | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stanton C | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rey Zarbyev | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Its Mr Slew to You | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Flit N Flot | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just too Smart | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Malagra Vision | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Theclassprayer | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southside Shorty | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Captain | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Greeley | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Bandit | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m a C Looker | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Calmack | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manofsass | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amberjack Rey | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collin’s Express | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stars R Out | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wolfel Bear | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Babalight | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tooth | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Plans | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Too Much Gone | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheers to Berti | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy This | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dutchman | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Bayou | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Best Bling | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Timebobanna | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zarba’s Charm | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Wind | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Salty Martini | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coast of La | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Fern Doll | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nyla Girl | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Lynn | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Be Good | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rocketringo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Gray Ransom | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Prospector | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chia Ghost | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Blaster | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Confederate Yell | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Anthem | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yeowzer | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lydgate | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bucky Boy | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Too Bad Chu | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betty the Babe | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Party | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Sprouted Gold | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Randijoegofordgold | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Remember Carlos | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Word of the Day | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Im a Royal Tamer | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Classic High | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Landman | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cash for Glory | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bubbassecondchance | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ruston Who | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colt’s Secret | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spring Rodeo | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reydell | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mac Be Sweet | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Coffee Cup | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Ellerbe | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Trickey Run | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.