November 1, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Love Ice |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bella Noche |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Jutta |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Cudda Binn a Tizzy |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sneaking |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Poker Fever Gal |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Out Late |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Floatie |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Philly |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Mallory’s Bandit |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Recreational Use |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Chasin Gracie |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Street Honor |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Senor Guitar |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Walking in Faith |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Freddieslilwildcat |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Lookin At Clement |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Kiss Your Bride |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Flashy Image |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Big Gig |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Star Anne |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Combat Command |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Whatdatpay Ray |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Kid Correa |
1.80 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Kiss of the Wolf |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sergeant Granado |
8.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Captain’s Song |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Jewel House |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Linnie Laurine |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Diamonds and Oil |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Summers Back |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Destiny’s Port |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rush to Judgment |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Little G |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Blake the Great |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Gabby’s Got Grace |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Thegoodwitch |
4.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Blazing Sensation |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Misty Sunrise |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Blame Free |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Dance Till Two |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Racin Prayer |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
K K’s Princess |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wewoka |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Frenzy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Queen’s All Mine |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
D’wild Irish Rose |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Rock Star Status |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Side’s Song |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Bear’s Big Boy |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Mankind |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Dance Caller |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Bluegrass Sight |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sparky Sparkles |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
L D N Blue Cascade |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Bitsy’s Half |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Unitas |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Tapster |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Moroccan Warrior |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Jack Be Quick |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Smooth Gallop |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Clearedfor Takeoff |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Indy’s Code |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
El Mozo |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Closer to Ruston |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gone Lucky |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Freeontechnicality |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Happy Fats |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Wolf’s Song |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Last Flash |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rooster J |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Bowknot Billy |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Whistling Ranger |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Louisiana Lion |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Apollo’s Prince |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Due Apeal |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gary |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tim Pins |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Winter Man |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Zarla |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Yes Babe |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Little Miss Sparky |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pray You Catch Me |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Along Came Macey |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ease On West |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Toga’s Margrock |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ms Brown Gravy |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Good and Sizzlin |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Stellar Magic |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Red Wined Up |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Mighty T |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Delta Eighty Eight |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Elephante M |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Alys Appointment |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Tor Con Six |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Cracker Jackson |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Coffee Cup |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Fooling Jay |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Ipidate |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Jac’s All Mine |
10.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.