November 2, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Blarney |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Artillero |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Tapnow |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Black Justice |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Loaded Dynamite |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kev’s Inheritance |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Humor’s Reward |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Im a Wiree Rascal |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Charbonnet |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Tapster |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cascade Indian |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
The Ice Guy |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Holy Beau |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Valid Objection |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Run My Pal |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Calebs Gift |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Star Forefather |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cons Percussion |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Big Daddy Brahms |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Old Fashion Amour |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Yes Gorgeous |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Turkish Delight |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Stella’s Honor |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Seattle Brew |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Kodiak Sky |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Exotic Sin |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Blessed Bloom |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Starship Journey |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Giagiajoe |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dream Dream |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Taking Tips |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Emma’s Gift |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Ole Black Magic |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dixie Jackpot |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Malila |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Kylie’s Cutie |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Bourbon N Boots |
2.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
A La Folie |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Amazing Bella |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Southern Allure |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lovely in Lace |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Dyna’s Deelite |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
French Roast |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Noisy |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Grand Beauty |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Val’s Pal |
1.80 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kaleigh’s Dream |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Zarb’s Winnie |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Pride and Gioia |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Foxy Miss |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Schuyler Sister |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Greta |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sandy’s Wager |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stackoleena |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ardesia |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Impazible Pat |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Call It Luck |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Sawyers Gray Girl |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sunburned |
8.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Alabama Slim |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Chad Be Glad |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Stratocruiser |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Mumbles |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Deadly Truth |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Castlederg |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
My Flit N Flot |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mr. Shad |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Earl and Vinegar |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Glide Baby Glide |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bling It On Baby |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fee Fi Fo Fo |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Strike Pleasure |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ruby Rumba |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Another Pinot |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Grand Farewell |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sibling War |
4.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Purely Blessed |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
My Bonne Margie |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Spotsback |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Pep Last Dream |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Eagle Rising |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Panzer |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Will Burn Tails |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Mane Mission |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Hermano Pilon |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Donttakeitpersonal |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Brother Who |
2.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Andy Man |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Honest Spree |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Lucame |
15.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Bottle Let Me Down |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Fantastic Warrior |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Clever Racer |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
He’s an Honest Man |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
R. C. Owens |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kidd James |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bad Investment |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Two Mikes N Doc G |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Star of Ruston |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Drewmatic |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.