November 4, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rocketringo | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All About Diva | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scatdaddyscat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dapper Jack | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Rate First | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jade Star | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Darylslittleengine | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Ricky | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Liba | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jayrew | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Holiday | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crowned Style | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Doll | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skipadee Due Da | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Lass | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play the Field | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | For Gloryalleluia | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Nilla | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Cowgirl | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Redtotherescue | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starfish Point | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creole Wildfire | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mary B Good | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Valentine | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blowin Your Mind | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Sassy Butclassy | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fearless Dixie | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Twice a Rebel | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss Lilly | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Striking Femme | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Double Down Britt | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Lafitte’s Diamond | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Debbyz Wingz | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Seveneightnine | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Presli’s Argument | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Queen | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Gator Jack | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jobay | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Danny’s Turbo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Wildcat Friendship | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why It’s True | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gasolina | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dixie Beat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Production | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Witch Hunt | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buxton Boy | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Say Charlie | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | River Bobcat | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Nick | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gray Ransom | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Our Rapidash | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saved by Zero | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | D’ Kingfish | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fiddlers Farewell | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Greeley | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Sin Llorar | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Menewa | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roger Brown | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Lady Melania | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A P Indy Is Gold | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Time to Change | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Titanium Bill | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seniorbling | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Overlyappealing | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Proper Romance | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Im Moonstruck | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Power Walker | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sean | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Im an American Man | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Andy | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Ford’spowerstroke | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Star Ranger | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ringneckdove | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drinking Fund | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Reina Isabel | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Town Surprise | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizmyday | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tinc | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Ruston | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Springs | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I B Sweet | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toga Dance | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Kicking Back | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Color Me Ready | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Storm | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missbonquiqui | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stylin Ordained | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flame N Jane | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Warsongchant | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | East Lee | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D D’s Delight | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Gabby’s Freedom | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.