November 5, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silberado | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Archival | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Review | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Holland Road | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romanologist | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Townie | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoot the Gap | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Ensign | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buntline Special | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dublin Express | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Piquet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz R Bella | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spa Treatment | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danielle’s Pride | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Live That Fantasy | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holyholyholy | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Mikayah | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cirque | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tulips Galore | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Nashua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avery Island | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aveenu Malcainu | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Under the Graydar | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Ridge Scout | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Sermon | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Missimpazi | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Kreesie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Velvet Trinni | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Split Time | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Straw Hat | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Delightful | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Nazay | 5.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chenais’ Posse | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Once Is Forever | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stonefactor | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon High | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Headfirst | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Micky’s Pride | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Birthday Gift | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dark Tricks | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Super | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Talkn Til Midnight | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Knuckle Knock | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B Three | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Daring Prospect | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Regis | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lynnie B | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paluxy Princess | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Thirtydaysinjune | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Promise Me Tiz | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Splashy Rise | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezastraybullet | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tommy T | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anchor | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Distorted Admiral | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Westwood | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Business Cycle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stan the Man | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pendant | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Changewilldoyagood | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Red Knight | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Startup Nation | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Samadi Sky | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Wicked Freud | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nobody Move | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Broken Engagement | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Fratello Del Nord | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Forever in Love | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Harlan | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatstotalkabout | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | Beyond the Green | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Dream Doctor | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Dot Matrix | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Leaveematthegate | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lyrical Miracle | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Romance | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy N Ethel | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fusaichi Red | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cursor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indulgent | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Out | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dynamic War | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nile Princess | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Canoe | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Hottie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silly Numbers | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wish Upon | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woundwithhereyes | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Votre Coeur | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quanique | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grande Beso | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Persky’s Spirit | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.