November 9, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bancroft Hall | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Son of Mine | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Casigordo | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Competitiveness | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Polar Jet | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Nut Nut | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Grey | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Not Taken | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vagabond | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Awhile | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirstforthecup | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Create a Dream | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Truth in the Lies | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Burkey’s Babe | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bayshore Beauty | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Sugarille | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Opus Uno | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moondance | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Magari | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Spiral Bound | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Summer Mischief | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Charge Latouche | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valiant Man | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Croatia | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Galway Girl | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dwizard | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Louisiana Lady | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3B | 3 | Zelenka | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Frozen Angel | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9B | 9 | Ziller | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ferrad’s Party | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Isotope | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arewehavingfunyet | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jump for Joy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Honor Way | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Short Kakes | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Patriot Drive | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hembree | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12A | 12 | Battle Ready | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Shamcat | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Any Questions | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brianbakescookies | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fuel the Bern | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bootlegger (FR) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Going Strong | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Astounding | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10A | 8 | King of Spades | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sicilia Mike | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Empire | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cody’s Notes | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me a Star | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorable Jonas | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Down One to Go | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Strikes | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Prophet | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flora Dora | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Talk | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frank’s Folly | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Miss Grey | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jamyson ‘n Ginger | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Parade | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smile Big | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jules N Rome | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Literata | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Herecomesyourman | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Notjudginjustsayin | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Polar City | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Go Big Or Go Home | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alpha Team | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Harlan’s Hunch | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pawn It Back | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brancato | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8B | 7 | Wingman | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Champagne Papi | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Admirals Cove | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15B | 15 | Unforeseeable | 2.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 6.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Zeppelin Ride | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Critics Award | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 16A | 16 | Mr. Sultana | 30.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.