Site icon Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 9, 2017

November 9, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Bancroft Hall 1.40 1 2-1 Scr
6 6 Son of Mine 8.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
7 4 Casigordo 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Competitiveness 4.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
4 2 Polar Jet 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 3 Nut Nut 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Northern Grey 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Not Taken 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Vagabond 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dream Awhile 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Thirstforthecup 1.20 3.3 6-1 Scr
4 3 Create a Dream 1.60 4.3 8-1
3 2 Truth in the Lies 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Burkey’s Babe 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Bayshore Beauty 6.00 3 6-1
5A 4 Sugarille 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 5 Opus Uno 15.00 4 8-1
7 6 Moondance 2.00 4 8-1
1A 1 Magari 2.50 5.3 10-1 Scr
2 1 Spiral Bound 5.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Summer Mischief 2.00 1 2-1
11 9 Charge Latouche 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Valiant Man 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Croatia 15.00 4.5 9-1
2A 2 Galway Girl 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Dwizard 3.50 6.5 12-1
8A 7 Louisiana Lady 20.00 7.3 14-1
3B 3 Zelenka 12.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
10 8 Frozen Angel 6.00 8.5 16-1
9B 9 Ziller 12.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
1 1 Ferrad’s Party 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Isotope 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 4 Arewehavingfunyet 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Jump for Joy 10.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
4 3 Honor Way 1.60 4 8-1
3 2 Madame Barbarian 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Short Kakes 5.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Patriot Drive 3.00 1 2-1
9 7 Hembree 6.00 2.8 5-1
12A 12 Battle Ready 15.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
7 6 Shamcat 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Any Questions 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Brianbakescookies 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Fuel the Bern 4.00 7 13-1 Scr
3 3 Bootlegger (FR) 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Going Strong 3.50 8.3 16-1 Scr
8 8 Nutzforboltz 12.00 8.8 17-1 Scr
1 1 Astounding 3.50 9.5 18-1
10A 8 King of Spades 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Sicilia Mike 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Bourbon Empire 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Cody’s Notes 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Call Me a Star 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Honorable Jonas 30.00 5 9-1
3 3 Two Down One to Go 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sandy Strikes 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Storm Prophet 3.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Flora Dora 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Girl Talk 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Frank’s Folly 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Divine Miss Grey 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Jamyson ‘n Ginger 2.50 4 8-1
8 8 Parade 3.50 5 9-1
9 9 Smile Big 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Jules N Rome 15.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Literata 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Herecomesyourman 2.00 2 4-1 Scr
13 13 Notjudginjustsayin 4.00 2 4-1 Scr
1 1 Polar City 10.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
11 10 Go Big Or Go Home 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 Alpha Team 5.00 6 11-1
5 4 Harlan’s Hunch 2.50 7 13-1
10 9 Pawn It Back 30.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Brancato 12.00 7.8 15-1
8B 7 Wingman 2.00 8.3 16-1
3 2 Champagne Papi 20.00 9.8 18-1
9 8 Admirals Cove 15.00 11 21-1
15B 15 Unforeseeable 2.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
6 5 Cookie Crisp 6.00 12.3 23-1
4A 3 Zeppelin Ride 30.00 13 25-1
14 14 Critics Award 20.00 13 25-1 Scr
16A 16 Mr. Sultana 30.00 14.8 28-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version