November 12, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 9 | Praise the Moon | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | English Tudor | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Conquest Falcon | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Sideling Hill | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Lovely Games | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Royal Ruse | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Somedreamscometrue | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wigwam Summer | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Bombero | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Black Prong | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Pleasant Everafter | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mike the Tiger | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Classy Deputy | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Ralph | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Valley Cal | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Men | 4.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Stiff | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dad’s City Girl | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Tweet | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deep Red | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ticticboomdynamite | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Esther | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Irene | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bay of Cats | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wonder How | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Die Hard Di | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Can’ttakeitwithyou | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Naught Spy | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Witchy’s Laststand | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie I’ll Find U | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Real Fact | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Street Miz | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Race and Shine | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Include Gold | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Taller Sister | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | E Lizzy | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holy Scat | 5.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Flight Pattern | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 7 | Champagne Time | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Abracadabra | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angel of Love | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Participate | 1.60 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Temple | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 2 | Eyerish Inspired | 4.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unspoken | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Chamberlin Road | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Summer Cocktail | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Adios Annie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Misschief Maas | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Angel At War | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Le Weekend | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clare’s Dowery | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Into Bluegrass | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mischievous | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Anna’s Bandit | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Phantom Shot | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 5 | Never Stop Looking | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Stand Alone | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Set of J’s | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Bull | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 4 | Vim | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Dr Bolt | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Bass River Road | 0.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Puturseatbelton | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Risky Guy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Great Harbour Cay | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Merry’s Honor | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | What the Chub | 6.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Uno Emayo | 4.50 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Siena Indian | 15.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | It’s a Plane | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Indeed | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Next Best Thing | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toby Girl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enterprising Lady | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In the Navy Now | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patriotic Endeavor | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flatter Me Zanja | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Follow the Petals | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Rockinn On Bye | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Jaguar Poz | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Gone South | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Thunder | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Rapid Dan | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 4 | Triple Burner | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dubini | 4.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | My Enigma | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Grandiflora | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Tune | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Our Independence | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Thank You So Much | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Edify | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Vision | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Bo Go | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s My Way | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Patriotic Quest | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Double Derby Perks | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Papa Joel | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanghai Storm | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Three Chopt Punch | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Dr. Cerrato | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kaz Country | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.