November 22, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fu Flew | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Again | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cristianstorm | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aly’s Grasshopper | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Level Temper | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classic High | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Humor’s Reward | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reydell | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Ella’s Actor | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soldiers Letter | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Ranchero | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bakota | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Nasty Time | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mediamaker | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Herbie | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forestdungone | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Cash | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Lewis | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Black Justice | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Kev’s Inheritance | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Myblendofwhisky | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | And Yet Another | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mob Posse | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ipidate | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indulgences | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | King Sniper | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Corey’sgoldentouch | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crown the Barber | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ching Ching | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fiddlers Dance | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Side’s Song | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonto M | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mick | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sparky Sparkles | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lukes Bad Boy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | At Bat | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rascal | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Afleet | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witch Hunt | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Bristol Rover | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Power and Grace | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Sugar Cane | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bendyls Picq Me | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bambini | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King Zippy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Time to Change | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Live Like Jerry | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cajunman | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rak Em | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Jaye’s Mr Bling | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ocean Croissant | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gimmeashot | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | U Complete Me | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Full Fleet | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Doc’s Rocket | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Best of Tess | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Shaw | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Silky Stone | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jumping On Clouds | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Breeze of Cinnamon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Big Risque | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wrap It Up | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Scottish Bu | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Smart Cat | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Hannah Bell | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Betitallwithpaul | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Spirit | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Striking Femme | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lafitte’s Diamond | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Down Britt | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Fore Kicks | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Presli’s Argument | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Draw Ronnie | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Super Stroke | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | It’s Time to B | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shda Binn Discreet | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Stihl Harbor | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Danny’s Turbo | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Rate First | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Forerun | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Unitas | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Q’ Mark | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Say Charlie | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Witt Stamp | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valid Nick | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | What a Shiner | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Richter | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Ice Guy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capote P. | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moment of Time | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oath of Office | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Dancing | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clutch City | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calebs Gift | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gentleman’s Prize | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Jus Rad | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Daddy Brahms | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | State Treasurer | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rhettever | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Landman | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Chatain | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Bin | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tylers Bandit | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Down | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Promise Me Sleep | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Father George | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Felonious Friend | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polish Junior | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.