November 24, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fengari | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Channel Crossing | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Soot | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calexman | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockaway (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Erotic | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lauderdale | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Falcone | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elevate | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Toro de Toro | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Asesino | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bitzka | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dangerously Close | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Besides the Point | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pomp and Party | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Velvet Jones | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yalisha | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Love Recipe | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Be Held | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Candy Crew | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Show It N Moe It | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Factorofwon | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cono | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Magic Musketier | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Valentine | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Count Alexander | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Summer Shamal (FR) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Texas Wedge | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Colonel Cash | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Schulace | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Mom | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Trusting Friend | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | My Sweet Emma | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | California Street | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zipman | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Captivate | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Momma’s Baby Boy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moneigh Moproblems | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hollywood Strike | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lighthouse Point | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beer Tap | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Buzz | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Pointed | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jungle Warfare | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Boyne (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskimo Roses | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bartlett Hall | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arch Anthem | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Blended Citizen | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Purr Cat | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Holy Ghost | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Convexity | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Street Vision | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Papa Turf | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Red Lightning | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spectre Bond | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hitters Park | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Iron Rob | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Clear the Mine | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Desert Law | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stone Hands | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sword Fighter | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Borden County | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flamboyant (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tequila Joe | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prime Attraction | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Inordinate | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Infobedad (ARG) | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Chicago Style | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Manitoulin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lottie | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prince of Arabia | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bardstown | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Downside Up | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beloved Holiday | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Super Duper Cooper | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Psychedelicat | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Air Force Cadet | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Inhibition | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unnamed Source | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Drum Roll Please | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Is Trevor Clever | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.