November 29, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Lady Quality |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Liberty Lady |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Blame Free |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Wewoka |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Susie’s Daddy |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Lute Song |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Operatic |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mighty Nice Rags |
5.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Ruby Red Slippers |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
First Class Misty |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Just Cruising |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pride and Gioia |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Cherry Laurel |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tattle Tail Sue |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dyso |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ardesia |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
My Luv Monkey |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tiz One Fee |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sunburned |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Good and Sizzlin |
12.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
My Bobbie Girl |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Southern Allure |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lady El Prado |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Deep End |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dixie the Cat |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kaleigh’s Dream |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
One K Queen |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Rene’s Logic |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lady Myla |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Rock Star Status |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rowdy Richard |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Gentleman Len |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Back in Business |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Retrofit |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Awesome J T |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Amerocko |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rooster Bullet |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
L D N Blue Cascade |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Keystones Strike |
10.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Go Poppa Go |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
King of Honour |
12.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Ginger Tee |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ms D’ Oro an Gold |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Crickadee |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Go Selma T |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Miss Toga |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Frisky Breeze |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Princess Arwen |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Theboyzpic |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mine Mine |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
C’Time |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Boldcapo |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
On Time |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gardner’s Song |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Valid Objection |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lanies Choice |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Speedy Thief |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Revenueneutral |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Hunsa’s Magic |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lion Rampant |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cons Percussion |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Pat’s Shoes |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mischievous Bull |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dance Champion |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Whiskey Biz |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bluegrass Punch |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sierra Victor |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Willy Be Invited |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Meseta Diablo |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
7 |
Giagiajoe |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
1A |
5 |
Witts Lil Apache |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Gussie’s Girl |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Best Bling |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Ole Black Magic |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Katie B’s Wager |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Wandernintheforest |
4.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
6 |
Kylie’s Cutie |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
4 |
Bourbon N Boots |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
9 |
Shesa Riskycascade |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Imindycatbirdseat |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Masterly |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sailorman |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
No Plans |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chat Rat |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Gueydan |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fancy This |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Meiko Achufa |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Big Yankee |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Reydell |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Shoesfromthegitgo |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Gum Creek |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Can’t Stop Kohen |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mac Be Sweet |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Have Heart Can Run |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Peppermint Twist |
5.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Promise Me Sleep |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
D’s Cat Allthetime |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Frazier Double |
30.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.