November 30, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hard Attack | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arch Madness | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loaded Dynamite | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pauley’s Star | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pops Legacy | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doubleshotofcrown | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Candy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Huffs Untouchable | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courtney’s Gift | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moneyinmypocket | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Blame Dexter | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stage Show | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a C Looker | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Red Sensation | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shambolic | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel Gentleman | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boomer’s Boy | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Collin’s Express | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sharp Machete | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Royal Cajun | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Custom Bling | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Makeithappen | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Noah Knows | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pierpont | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dark Genius | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Total Frat Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Rockinthered | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Baraway | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Aztec Delite | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Players Gonna Play | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Customized | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Preston’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Destinator | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer’s Era | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cadillac Carter | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ide Be a Miracle | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leestown Blues | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bucky Boy | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theycalledhimbig | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yes Babe | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Taylor’s Beauty | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Little Miss Sparky | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Swamp Production | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Road Show | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz the Time | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Along Came Macey | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winnie the Roo | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Hold | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lil Miss Grey | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gibby’s Spot | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shakeitifuluvme | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Florencio | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ten Silver Pins | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ride a Saint | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drewmisterio | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Halo Redding | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Zippo | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Calmack | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Due Apeal | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiznberry | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Lion | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Evan Lee G | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wolf’s Song | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Side’s Song | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tyler Bigo | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | C R Knight | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Fire | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rate Maker | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rascal | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mankind | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ole Doc | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Bristol Rover | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witch Hunt | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Bam Bam Cam | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Hours to Shine | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12A | 12 | Bellarmine | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | No One Greater | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mallory’s Bandit | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chasin Gracie | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Honeypot | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Street Honor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prince Isaac | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Hook | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Yeowzer | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drakarys | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | So Sorry Ruston | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Judge Dixon | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tristan’s Dream | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yours Alone | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keep the Commish | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Bucky | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Silis | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Red Kid | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theboyzdelight | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Swift Lisa | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Dixie K | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flaming Diva | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two J’s | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | K One Comet | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | East Lee | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gande Dancer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kiwi Magic | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Box of Rocks | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deez Jitterbug | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Movie Date | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scarlett Surprise | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.