Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 3, 2017

December 3, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Elegant Idea 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Lady Digger 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Half Fast Rose 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Sorcerer’s Appeal 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ide Be Silly 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Timebobanna 4.50 6 11-1
3 3 Candi’s Kitten 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Bourbon Candy 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Show Bound 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Bushrod 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Roskilde 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Day Six 4.50 5 9-1 Scr
5 4 Fred’s Lucky Boy 4.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Concho 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Big Ragu 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 4 Onefor Thegripper 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sandlot Sam 10.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
8 6 Gentle Commitment 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Classic Brahms 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Apollo’s Prince 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Winter Man 8.00 7 13-1 Scr
3 2 Spasini 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Time to Flirt 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 Creative Thinking 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 She’s Plain Jane 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Deauville Mist 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Moonlit Garden 6.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
9 9 Princess Julia 2.50 6 11-1 Scr
7 7 To Be Famous 4.50 6 11-1
1 1 Lucky Move 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Carolina Honey 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 B B Special 3.50 2 4-1 Scr
1 4 John’s Luck 3.00 2 4-1
1A 7 Brute Strength 3.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
6 5 Snapper Bite 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 1 Whoz Talkin Now 5.00 4 8-1
4 3 Quality Production 4.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Senor Guitar 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Great Kat 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 My Man Jax 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Campioni 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Findley Isle 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 River Evangelist 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Desierto 4.50 5 9-1
9 9 Teletap 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Telling You Twice 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Alys Appointment 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Casses Story 3.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Battle Colors 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Grandpa’s Dream 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mighty Manfred 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Social Misfit 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Grit 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 11 Brexit 3.50 1 2-1
8 7 Woulda Coulda Did 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Landonese 8.00 4.7 9-1
12 10 Kowboy Posse 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Warleggan 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Bully Dos 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Nothings Changed 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Nobutzaboutit 8.00 8 15-1
14 14 The Babyson 20.00 9 17-1 Scr
10 9 Keppel Bay 12.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Want 10.00 10.3 20-1 Scr
9 8 Hold On Angel 30.00 12 23-1
11 11 Dalaman 12.00 12 23-1 Scr
6 5 Musial 20.00 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Autumn Flirt 2.50 3 6-1
11 10 Uncle Nearis 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Tensas’s Boy 12.00 4 8-1 Scr
10 9 O’L Red 8.00 4 8-1
5 4 Perin the Pirate 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 2 Hitter 6.00 5 9-1
8 7 From Now On 6.00 5.7 11-1
1A 7 Aint There No More 6.00 8 15-1 Scr
6 5 Magic Maniac 15.00 8.7 16-1
3 1 Guitar King 12.00 9.7 18-1
9 8 Beauty Boy 15.00 9.7 18-1
7 6 Zebedee Zered 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.