December 7, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Out of Nowhere | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cookin | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holyholyholy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purrageous Dyna | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jacqueline D | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Affair | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cetara | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Love | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pico Chick | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bon Heir | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clairvoyant Lady | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Familyofroses | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Belle | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Da Wildcat Girl | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Polar City | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Team | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Auk | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Papi | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Sultana | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General J C | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Donald Problem | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bayshore Beauty | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Sugarille | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spa Treatment | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Magari | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Overtime Olivia | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tizza Temper | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frosty Gal | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Robin’s Destiny | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decorator Jenn | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Stones | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Terralsole | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cats Halo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rullah | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Truly a Moon Shot | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Indian Soldier | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alaapatique | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here and There | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Killybegs Captain | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Jet | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Aces | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Munchkin Money | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Itsinthestars | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Vicki’s Dancer | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | First Appeal | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unrepented | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Timely Tradition | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | True Charm | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Court Dancer | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Startwithsilver | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Barrier to Entry | 3.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devine Union | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bogulator | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naples Parade | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tanzania Road | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greatreviews | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Total Control | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sleigh Ride | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.